Civilization’s Fall May Not Be the End, But It Will Be a Hard New Beginning

And it is coming sooner than you think

Glen Hendrix


Photo by Sebastian Unrau on Unsplash

There are many people out there that don’t believe me when I talk about the fall of our civilization coming so soon. I can understand that. They may be in denial. They may not have drilled down for the information needed to come to that conclusion yet. They may suspect there are terrible things about to happen but don’t want it confirmed.

They respond to my essays on the subject by talking about how white hydrogen, solar panels, electric cars, nuclear, and so on and so forth will save the world. Lord God knows I wish that were the case. If wishes were fishes.

Even if they were the answer, there are many problems with electric cars that won’t be fixed in time. The same goes for wind and solar. And by “time” I mean the 19 to 35 years before the practical demise of oil. That means we quit using oil at that time and leave the rest in the ground or don’t quit and keep tacking on to the final warm-up temperature of the planet something over 2 degrees C. (3.6 degrees F.).

Since major fundamental facets of our civilization require oil and diesel (mining, agriculture, transport, pharmaceuticals), our civilization is due for a tumble. Natural gas can keep us going for a little while, but just adds fuel to the fire, so to speak, as far as climate goes. And by “tumble” I mean mass disruptions to agriculture, transportation, and industrialization resulting in famine, wars, and pestilence.

The eight billion people on earth will be reduced drastically. We could end up with two billion or less, and that population will be unstable trending downward for many decades. Life spans will go back to 50 years or less. What they were over a hundred years ago.

If we can maintain our digital knowledge for a hundred years after the fall, it may be possible for mankind to flourish again.

That is, if feelings aren’t too inflamed by the resource wars that are bound to ravage the world population, and we aren’t reduced to internecine squabbling at a granular level along with the famine and pestilence.

Between the wars, famine, and pestilence possibly 3 out of 4 people could die. Worse than…